A meaningful date range
A range that covers several market regimes instead of a single trend.
Backtest / Optimization
Historical backtest, optimization, forward test and statistical analysis.
Scope
The scope is settled before work starts; the items below are part of this service.
A range that covers several market regimes instead of a single trend.
A search through parameter space with recorded results, not a pile of output rows.
In-sample and out-of-sample results are compared, then forward tested.
Assumptions, limitations and data quality are all stated in the report.
Every report states its measurement conditions: data window, commission, spread, tick model and limitations.
If tick data of the required quality is not available, that limitation is stated explicitly — better than publishing a number without its conditions.
The final handover includes recommended parameters with their stability band, showing which settings are sensitive to small changes.
Delivery
Four stages with defined output; nothing moves on without your approval.
Date range, tick model, spread and commission are fixed.
The current build is run and its trade paths and errors reviewed.
Parameters are searched with overfitting control and recorded results.
The final build runs on demo and the differences are recorded.
Handover
What you receive at the end of the project.
3 items
This list is part of the project scope; each item is handed over at the end of its stage, before final delivery.
Who it is for
If one of these describes your situation, this is the right service.
The system runs, but you have no defensible numbers for its behaviour.
You want to know which parameters actually affect the outcome.
Questions
Short answers to what clients ask about this specific service.
A backtest measures the current build; optimisation searches parameter space and, left uncontrolled, ends in overfitting.
The data source is named in the report along with its limitations; no number is published without its measurement conditions.
A backtest report with stated conditions, an overfitting review and a list of suggested parameters within a sensible range.